Desktop Research: Essays and Interviews on the Future

The initial listing of predictions about the future has been collected from our previous years' efforts and other recommended sources.

We'd love to see your clippings here as well! Please use the edit this page button to add more, or add comments on how or why you think they may or may not be important. As is the convention throughout the Horizon Project Wiki, we ask you to identify items you think are of high interest to us, as I have done here by typing 4 tilde (~) characters-- - Sam Sam Apr 14, 2011 (note - to keep the wiki clean, please put spaces on either side of your marks). This will help us to sift through the articles and determine which ones resonate most strongly with the board as a whole.

Recommended Reading

  • 11 Predictions on the Future of Social Media
    This article asserts that global social media usage will continue on its upward trajectory and gives some predictions from industry experts. - BGarcia BGarcia Oct 18, 2014
  • Face of the Future: How Facial-Recognition Tech Will Change Everything
    This article discusses the state of facial-recognition tech and how a new generation of algorithms, a rising number of online and offline databases, and swarms of cameras in consumer devices all aim to make facial recognition a growing part of daily life. - Sam Sam Oct 30, 2014
  • 5 Sci-Fi Writers Who Predicted The Future Of Cloud Computing
    This is a fun write-up that gives five examples of sic-fi writers predicting the future.
  • The Future Of Education Eliminates The Classroom, Because The World Is Your Class - LoriByrdPhillips LoriByrdPhillips Oct 18, 2014 - david david Oct 18, 2014 very interesting discussion on the future of global learnring environments - CReich CReich Oct 31, 2014
    Socialstructed learning is an aggregation of microlearning experiences drawn from a rich ecology of content and driven not by grades but by social and intrinsic rewards. The transformation in education that is happening is much bigger than just MOOCs account for, as it includes a rapidly growing and open content commons (Wikipedia is just one example), on-demand expertise and help (from Mac Forums to Fluther, Instructables, and WikiHow), mobile devices and geo-coded information that takes information into the physical world around us and makes it available any place any time, and new work and social spaces. - BGarcia BGarcia Oct 18, 2014 - jasper jasper Oct 19, 2014 - croyston croyston Oct 19, 2014 - Psparrow Psparrow Oct 19, 2014 - jaronowitz jaronowitz Oct 20, 2014 - AHelmreich AHelmreich Oct 21, 2014 - lkelly lkelly Oct 23, 2014
  • 'The Future is Here' exhibition at the Design Museum, London
    The Design Museum, London has created an exhibit to display the evolution of technology within manufacturing, as more and more ways emerge to translate the virtual into the physical realm. They foresee a revolution in making and buying, one in which the boundaries between designer, maker and consumer are disappearing.
  • The Future of the Open Internet is Decentralized
    The Internet is having a quarter-life crisis. At just 25 years old, it suffers from two serious problems: Surveillance is carried out en masse, and citizens in many countries can access only the heavily censored or propagandized information available to them.
  • The Future Of Technology Isn’t Mobile, It’s Contextual
    In the coming years, there will be a shift toward what is now known as contextual computing, defined in large part by Georgia Tech researchers Anind Dey and Gregory Abowd about a decade ago. Always-present computers, able to sense the objective and subjective aspects of a given situation, will augment our ability to perceive and act in the moment based on where we are, who we’re with, and our past experiences. - jfoley jfoley Oct 18, 2014 - LoriByrdPhillips LoriByrdPhillips Oct 18, 2014 - BGarcia BGarcia Oct 18, 2014 - david david Oct 18, 2014 - croyston croyston Oct 19, 2014- Psparrow Psparrow Oct 19, 2014 - jaronowitz jaronowitz Oct 20, 2014 - lkelly lkelly Oct 23, 2014 - CReich CReich Oct 31, 2014
  • Get Past the Gimmicks and Gaze Upon the Future of Augmented Reality Apps
    Mobile tech keeps moving toward AR. It feels tailor made for wearable technology, particularly smart glasses. New academic research has given us an insight into the exciting future possibilities for AR browsers, but it also highlights the barriers that must be overcome. - jim.devine jim.devine Oct 21, 2014 - jaronowitz jaronowitz Oct 20, 2014
  • Harvard’s 1,000 Kilobot Swarm Demonstrates the Future of Robotics
    Swarms of small robots in their thousands that collectively complete complex tasks are now possible – and could be the future of robotics, according to researchers.
  • Robots Aren't the Problem: It's Us
    This article looks at two opposing views on technology, one of optimism, and the other as something that will actually stamp out innovation by automating more and more tasks and taking the human element out of creation and interaction. This article reconciles the two, explaining how "the key to a broadly shared prosperity lies in new social and economic arrangements that more fully engage, not ignore and waste, the creative talents of all of our people."
  • Silicon Valley Teens on the Future of Technology
    During a tech event in Palo Alto the VC firm Foundation Capital asked dozens of teenagers what is in store for the future of technology. Some showed up with prototypes and models of projects they have in the works. When asked what kinds of college courses they’re looking forward to most, students called out things like “design thinking” and “applied entrepreneurship.” - david david Oct 18, 2014 - lkelly lkelly Oct 23, 2014 Teens are so cool and swtiched on!
  • Still No Flying Cars? Debating Technology’s Future
    Mr. Theil and Mr. Graeber both believe that technological innovation is in a state of stagnation but they have different ideas as to how to change this. To Mr. Graeber, the key is replacing what currently passes for democracy with a genuinely participatory system of the sort prefigured by the Occupy movement. Mr. Thiel, describing himself as a “political atheist,” said that people should spend less time trying to change the system than simply creating things outside it. And the key to progress, he said, may not be more democracy.
  • U.S. Views of Technology and the Future
    A new national survey by The Pew Research Center asked Americans about a wide range of potential scientific developments—from near-term advances like robotics and bioengineering, to more “futuristic” possibilities like teleportation or space colonization. In addition to asking them for their predictions about the long-term future of scientific advancement, we also asked them to share their own feelings and attitudes toward some new developments that might become common features of American life in the relatively near future.
  • Will You Lose Your Museum Job to a Robot?
    This article discusses a report released last month by the Associated Press, titled AP IMPACT, forecasting the effect of technology on the economy and employment, and arguing that automation will take over more and more jobs. The author of this article applies this to museums, naming four museum staff positions that may be reduced or made redundant by smart technology. - BGarcia BGarcia Oct 18, 2014 - lkelly lkelly Oct 23, 2014
  • Museopunks Ep. 18 - The Rhetoric of the Future
    This is an excellent interview with Colleen Dilenschneider of IMPACTS consulting on the way that we in museums talk about the future; in effect, she says that we try to postpone the present by talking about the so-called "future of museums." This is potentially a great framing of many of the issues we'll be dealing with in the Horizon Report. - Koven Koven Oct 16, 2014 - alex alex Oct 17, 2014 - jfoley jfoley Oct 18, 2014- LoriByrdPhillips LoriByrdPhillips Oct 18, 2014(Note: Edited to her correct last name.) - BGarcia BGarcia Oct 18, 2014 - david david Oct 18, 2014 - Psparrow Psparrow Oct 19, 2014 ( - ryand ryand Oct 19, 2014 ) - lkelly lkelly Oct 23, 2014
  • That Time We Let the Community Do the Blogging (and Why We'll Do It Again)
    I address the scary idea of letting your community speak for you on your own social channels. IMO, more direct community contributions to museum social media will be an important thing to tackle in the near future. - LoriByrdPhillips LoriByrdPhillips Oct 18, 2014 - david david Oct 18, 2014 - AHelmreich AHelmreich Oct 21, 2014 - lkelly lkelly Oct 23, 2014 This isn't new???
  • Twenty-First Century Literacies. This list of literacies compiled by Cathy Davidson, HASTAC, is a great starting point to think about the kinds of activities museums should plan for:
  • The Reciprocity Advantage: A New Way to Partner for Innovation and Growth. Bob Johansen and Karl Ronn. While this book is not about technology or museums per se, it forecasts how such future forces as 'gameful engagement,' 'digital natives,' and 'cloud-served supercomputing' will "demand reciprocity" as the winning business strategy. - marsha.semmel marsha.semmel Nov 1, 2014